Wendyzhu77
07-22 03:00 PM
Just don't understand why people are still arguing about the number. The cold hard fact is: uscis processes 1M~2M EAD every year in the past few years. Please refer to one previous post for this info. With this existing load and the existing work force to handle this load, even 750K new application wouldn't be a overwhelming load, say, original 2 months waiting to now 3 months waiting.
Also, even this 750k new EAD number is questionable, as lots of people already explained. E.g., before July 17, only 55k 485 were received in total. That certainly doesn't sound well to add up to 750k.
Guys,
The calculations below is not to scare anyone but it may very well a reality. Based on the assumptions below, some people may have to wait up to 20 months to get a EAD card: Ouch!
A Total I-485 Applicants: 750000 Applicants
B Each EAD processing time: 5 Minutes
C Total processing hrs: 62500 Hours
(Calculations: AxB/60)
D Daily productive Hours: 5 Hours
(It is a government body!)
E Total Man Days (Business Days): 12500 Man Days
(Calculations: C/D)
F EAD Workforce: 30 People
G Total Business Days: 417 Days
(Calculations: E/F)
H Average Business Days in a month: 21 Days
I Total Clearing Time : 20 Months
(Calculations: G/I)
Also, even this 750k new EAD number is questionable, as lots of people already explained. E.g., before July 17, only 55k 485 were received in total. That certainly doesn't sound well to add up to 750k.
Guys,
The calculations below is not to scare anyone but it may very well a reality. Based on the assumptions below, some people may have to wait up to 20 months to get a EAD card: Ouch!
A Total I-485 Applicants: 750000 Applicants
B Each EAD processing time: 5 Minutes
C Total processing hrs: 62500 Hours
(Calculations: AxB/60)
D Daily productive Hours: 5 Hours
(It is a government body!)
E Total Man Days (Business Days): 12500 Man Days
(Calculations: C/D)
F EAD Workforce: 30 People
G Total Business Days: 417 Days
(Calculations: E/F)
H Average Business Days in a month: 21 Days
I Total Clearing Time : 20 Months
(Calculations: G/I)
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wantgc23
08-14 08:23 PM
I have read the Original quote several times and dont see how they mean June 2007, To me it is clear that they are talking about June 2008.
Sorry to sound so negative, but I think we are looking at something like Sept 2001 for EB3-I in Oct bulletin.
I doubt that USCIS can talk cryptic like Alan Greenspan, they probably meant that the PD will be back to what it was in june 08. There are only 3k visas per category and thousands of applicants, i dont see a logical reason why the dates will move 2-3 years. If they do, i too will buy you dinner. nothing is logical with USCIS... during the last couple of weeks of September you will see significant numbers of EB 2 approvals and then its back to square one for another year.
The main reason for the 2 year movement in june 07 was because they wanted to allocate all unallocated visas for the year, then the July VB came out and the rest is history. They have improved the coordination between DOJ and USICS since. Just want to be realistic, if we start assuming thing people get complacent and stop doing the little activities that help us.
Sorry to sound so negative, but I think we are looking at something like Sept 2001 for EB3-I in Oct bulletin.
I doubt that USCIS can talk cryptic like Alan Greenspan, they probably meant that the PD will be back to what it was in june 08. There are only 3k visas per category and thousands of applicants, i dont see a logical reason why the dates will move 2-3 years. If they do, i too will buy you dinner. nothing is logical with USCIS... during the last couple of weeks of September you will see significant numbers of EB 2 approvals and then its back to square one for another year.
The main reason for the 2 year movement in june 07 was because they wanted to allocate all unallocated visas for the year, then the July VB came out and the rest is history. They have improved the coordination between DOJ and USICS since. Just want to be realistic, if we start assuming thing people get complacent and stop doing the little activities that help us.
srhari
07-14 04:01 PM
Simply send the check of $5 to Immigration Voice at the address listed in the first post as if you were paying a utility bill. That way your bank will send IV a check of $5.00 (or whatever amount you want it to) and IV gets the WHOLE $5 and no fees are deducted.
Thanks for the information. Just paid $20 using online Bill Pay from BOA (Confirmation #: 7YBC0-Y1MRW).
Thanks for the information. Just paid $20 using online Bill Pay from BOA (Confirmation #: 7YBC0-Y1MRW).
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mrdelhiite
06-25 11:49 AM
Got approved just now. Labor filed EB3 on 23rd Feb Govt job. Thinsg are moving ... Best of luck to all !!!
-M
-M
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Mouns
04-30 03:20 PM
:mad:
Green.Tech
06-16 08:22 PM
Another paypal contribution on top of the previous amts - just in response to those friendly bumps..
ID - 8U366744YC025615S
Thanks ramaonline!
ID - 8U366744YC025615S
Thanks ramaonline!
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swede
04-07 09:30 AM
Wow. That must be a record...:eek: Maybe you should call Guiness World records, and claim the title "slowest Green Card process in history". ;)
My PD Oct 2001. 45 letter received October 2005. No news at Apr.5 2006:o
My PD Oct 2001. 45 letter received October 2005. No news at Apr.5 2006:o
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sunny1000
06-02 03:07 PM
Also wanted to point out that the "dual intent" provision of the H1-B will be removed by this new CIR bill which will make matters worse for the people with I-485 pending as those applications can be rejected based on that.:(
More bad news for the legals
More bad news for the legals
more...
manderson
12-27 09:54 PM
good to know i am not alone on this! i filed AP thru NSC on Aug 15, and got a receipt notice for it on Oct 12. The case tracker also has just one entry on Oct 12 (i.e. "we received your app on Oct 12....") -- its been dead since then. no LUDs, no RFEs, nothing.
i dunno if this is a correct interpretation... but i just saw the dec processing times (http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=16334 thanks to aadimanav (http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/member.php?u=9573)) and it says NSC is taking 3 months for APs. maybe the 3 months start from Oct 12 and not from Aug 15. In that case my AP should be processed by Jan 12.
If this theory is right, anyone who got a AP Receipt Notice before Sept 27, should have an approved AP in hand by now. I hope this is the case becoz then its just 3 more weeks. A lot of ppl would be on the same boat then
i dunno if this is a correct interpretation... but i just saw the dec processing times (http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=16334 thanks to aadimanav (http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/member.php?u=9573)) and it says NSC is taking 3 months for APs. maybe the 3 months start from Oct 12 and not from Aug 15. In that case my AP should be processed by Jan 12.
If this theory is right, anyone who got a AP Receipt Notice before Sept 27, should have an approved AP in hand by now. I hope this is the case becoz then its just 3 more weeks. A lot of ppl would be on the same boat then
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pappu
03-12 12:29 PM
The vision and mission is same. This change is to acknowledge people who support us. We will continue to post public updates as we have done. We feel by having all sincere members who support us in one place we can do better in our efforts.
members can still post questions and threads for free. All forums are available to everyone for free. Except the small donor forum.
members can still post questions and threads for free. All forums are available to everyone for free. Except the small donor forum.
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kaizersoze
07-18 05:16 PM
Contributed $100. Will sign up for recurring.
Also referred many of my friends to this site who are also contributed.
Paypal Transaction ID: 8M951494VW646135K
We all love IV.
u rock :)
Also referred many of my friends to this site who are also contributed.
Paypal Transaction ID: 8M951494VW646135K
We all love IV.
u rock :)
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Green.Tech
06-09 11:32 AM
Bump.
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EAD
09-12 01:37 PM
I am a new member and sent $50 by personal check to IV.
EAD
PD: May 04 (BEC cleared Nov 06)
I-140: Jan 07 (Pending NSC)
I-485: Aug 07 ( No reciepts)
EAD
PD: May 04 (BEC cleared Nov 06)
I-140: Jan 07 (Pending NSC)
I-485: Aug 07 ( No reciepts)
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satyasrd
08-24 07:19 AM
Pappu and IV seniors -
Do any of you know and if so could you please clarify what this new memo is about and how it especially affects the EB2 category ?
Does this now mean that for a non-advanced degree holder the qualification needed for EB2 is Bachelors+10 years of ex. ? If this is true it's really messed up for all the EB3's hoping to port to EB2 based on experience.
Thanks.
Do any of you know and if so could you please clarify what this new memo is about and how it especially affects the EB2 category ?
Does this now mean that for a non-advanced degree holder the qualification needed for EB2 is Bachelors+10 years of ex. ? If this is true it's really messed up for all the EB3's hoping to port to EB2 based on experience.
Thanks.
more...
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gc_waiter56
07-06 10:59 AM
All,
Pls mention Zoe Lofgren's letter to DHS and DOS and also NY time article while talking/ meeting your lawmakers. Guys,pls dot it and it is worth giving it a try. We will not loose more than what we have lost by this fiasco.
Pls mention Zoe Lofgren's letter to DHS and DOS and also NY time article while talking/ meeting your lawmakers. Guys,pls dot it and it is worth giving it a try. We will not loose more than what we have lost by this fiasco.
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gccube
07-18 03:55 PM
That requires sorting of the application by PD. But the SOP does not mention anywhere about the PD Sorting. I am sorry for you guys.
Assuming that the PD cut off date for a specific stream is 2004 Aug and there are still visa nos available but there are not enough application (can this ever happen for real) what are they going to do? They move the PD further up and whenever the pool is depleting they move it back again?
Assuming they move back the PD to 2000 after they ran out of the nos they start accepting AOS apps for that PD but they donot look at them (for adjudication) until the queue before is cleared based on the receipt date.
In such a case the PD lost all it's significance once the adjustment of status if filed?
If receipt date is the only significant date after AOS is filed then retrogressing to a specified date does not make sense as there is no need to accept new applications if they are not going to work on them and particularly when they know the current size of the queue.
Or May be I am missing something......
Assuming that the PD cut off date for a specific stream is 2004 Aug and there are still visa nos available but there are not enough application (can this ever happen for real) what are they going to do? They move the PD further up and whenever the pool is depleting they move it back again?
Assuming they move back the PD to 2000 after they ran out of the nos they start accepting AOS apps for that PD but they donot look at them (for adjudication) until the queue before is cleared based on the receipt date.
In such a case the PD lost all it's significance once the adjustment of status if filed?
If receipt date is the only significant date after AOS is filed then retrogressing to a specified date does not make sense as there is no need to accept new applications if they are not going to work on them and particularly when they know the current size of the queue.
Or May be I am missing something......
more...
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acecupid
06-11 12:59 PM
In a weird way, I feel this is good news. An old saying in China says 'Things will turn to their opposite at their extremes'. The moment before dawn is the darkest hour of the day.
I agree. Since politicians have no incentives from helping our cause, it has to come to an extreme breaking point when USCIS/DOS or politicians take any action. I think we have reached that point and that will help in highlighting the mess we are in.
Just trying to be optimistic!:)
I agree. Since politicians have no incentives from helping our cause, it has to come to an extreme breaking point when USCIS/DOS or politicians take any action. I think we have reached that point and that will help in highlighting the mess we are in.
Just trying to be optimistic!:)
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mdmd10
09-14 02:56 PM
Just made a 1 time contribution of $100.
Thank you for all the good work.
Thank you for all the good work.
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ilikekilo
03-11 08:19 AM
Iam not jumping on the bandwagon but my wife and I are contemplating about opening a (indian) restaurant and I would like to know if we can open one on H1b/EAD status? I know I could consult an attorney but we are not gonna open it right away so wanted to get some insight from experts on this.
If we cant open on our own due to technicalities can we open it in someones name who has a GC or citizenship (my sister and her family recently got citizenship) and work in that resturant as employees, atleast my wife if not me.?
situation:
PD: dec 2004, EB3
EAD : received oct 2007
485 applied , june 2007
wife on h1b and EAD eligible thru' me
Anyone pleasE?
If we cant open on our own due to technicalities can we open it in someones name who has a GC or citizenship (my sister and her family recently got citizenship) and work in that resturant as employees, atleast my wife if not me.?
situation:
PD: dec 2004, EB3
EAD : received oct 2007
485 applied , june 2007
wife on h1b and EAD eligible thru' me
Anyone pleasE?
gbarquero
09-11 09:58 PM
enrolled in recurring 50$ as first contribution..
great job guys...thanks for your sincere efforts
i dont browse much..so may not be looking until rally day.
i might not come as its too short notice for me to plan .
I see a lot of interest and effort on you, you should come with us. "Short notice"? How about if you join us in DC and then get a surprising "short wait" when you get your green card sooner? Sound like a good deal to me.
great job guys...thanks for your sincere efforts
i dont browse much..so may not be looking until rally day.
i might not come as its too short notice for me to plan .
I see a lot of interest and effort on you, you should come with us. "Short notice"? How about if you join us in DC and then get a surprising "short wait" when you get your green card sooner? Sound like a good deal to me.
akv123
07-20 06:10 PM
The numbers are assumptions and NOT facts. Most of these numbers have actually been pulled from other places or based on some rationale (for example 750,000 from Matthew Oh site, 5 minutes/EAD based on what need to be done to print out a card and pack in an envelop)
Workforce of 30 though is a gross assumption. Bigger the number better it is. So we may actually want to question USCIS if there are any resource constraints.
Outsourcing is a perfect Idea! What do you have in mind Wipro at Banglore? :D
What about bringing on H1B fresh graduates as Visa Processing Experts with a two days of Boot Camp Training? Anyway, we are forgetting that USCIS processed 25000 applications in 2 days. Please do not undermine efficiency we have seen in last days -- with that rate, I expect everything to get cleared in few weeks. If improved productivity is maintained/sustained to this level, I do not see any chance for outsourcing or bring H1B guys to this country. Best luck America!
Workforce of 30 though is a gross assumption. Bigger the number better it is. So we may actually want to question USCIS if there are any resource constraints.
Outsourcing is a perfect Idea! What do you have in mind Wipro at Banglore? :D
What about bringing on H1B fresh graduates as Visa Processing Experts with a two days of Boot Camp Training? Anyway, we are forgetting that USCIS processed 25000 applications in 2 days. Please do not undermine efficiency we have seen in last days -- with that rate, I expect everything to get cleared in few weeks. If improved productivity is maintained/sustained to this level, I do not see any chance for outsourcing or bring H1B guys to this country. Best luck America!
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